HomeWorldIMF lowers Türkiye's growth forecast for 2024, 2025 - Türkiye Today

IMF lowers Türkiye’s growth forecast for 2024, 2025 – Türkiye Today

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its economic growth forecasts for Türkiye for the years 2024 and 2025. The global lender’s “World Economic Outlook Report” indicates a downward adjustment for Türkiye’s projected growth, reflecting broader global economic uncertainties.

Türkiye’s growth forecast reduced for 2024 and 2025

In its latest report, the IMF has lowered Türkiye’s 2024 growth forecast from 3.6% to 3%. Similarly, the 2025 projection has been reduced from 3.2% to 2.7%. Despite these downward revisions, the IMF anticipates that Türkiye’s economy will grow by 3.9% in 2029.

People sit near the Golden Horn in Istanbul on Jan. 7. (Photo by Stefanie Glinski via Foreign Policy)

Inflation forecast adjusted for Türkiye

The IMF has also updated its inflation expectations for Türkiye. The consumer price index (CPI) forecast for 2024 has been increased to 60.9%, up from the previous estimate of 59.5%. However, the 2025 inflation estimate has been revised down to 33%, from an earlier projection of 38.4%. The report predicts inflation will drop to 24% by the end of 2025.

IMF lowers Türkiye's growth forecast for 2024, 2025
People walking in Istiklal street, one of the iconic place in Beyoglu, Istanbul, Türkiye, July 6, 2023. (AA Photo)

Global economic outlook remains uncertain

Globally, the IMF maintained its 2024 growth projection at 3.2% but lowered the 2025 forecast slightly to 3.2% from 3.3%. The report also indicates that global inflation is expected to decrease, with 2024 inflation projected at 5.8% and 2025 at 4.3%.

IMF lowers Türkiye's growth forecast for 2024, 2025
People shop in Istanbul, Türkiye, Oct. 26, 2021. (Reuters Photo)

Türkiye’s economic outlook in context

Türkiye remains one of the emerging markets in Europe facing downward revisions in growth expectations. For the broader group of emerging European economies, the IMF forecasts growth of 3.2% in 2024 and 2.2% in 2025. The long-term outlook for these economies sees growth stabilizing at around 2.5% by 2029.

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